Uguquko lwekhabhoni ephansi emhlabeni wonke luqhubeka kahle, futhi ngenxa yalokho, isidingo sikagesi emazweni omhlaba wonke kulindeleke ukuthi sikhuphuke kakhulu eminyakeni ezayo. Lokhu kuqhutshwa yizici ezihlukahlukene, okuhlanganisa ukukhula kokwamukelwa kwezimoto zikagesi, izinto zikagesi, amaphampu okushisa, nezimboni ezifakwa ugesi, ezokuthutha, nezolimo. Ukwengeza, ukuthuthukiswa kwe-5G, i-automation, ukufunda ngomshini, nobuhlakani bokwenziwa kuholela ekwenyukeni kwesidingo sedatha, okuqhubeka kwengeza isidingo sikagesi, ikakhulukazi amandla ahlanzekile.

Izibalo zibonisa ubukhulu bale nselele. Phakathi kuka-2010 no-2021, izinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lonyaka (CAGR) lokuphakelwa kukagesi emhlabeni wonke lalingu-2.53%. Ngokusekelwe ezinhlelweni ezimenyezelwe amazwe amakhulu emhlabeni jikelele, kulinganiselwa ukuthi ukuhlinzekwa kukagesi emhlabeni wonke kungafinyelela ku-36,370TWh ngo-2030, nge-CAGR yonyaka engu-2.86%. Ukukhiqizwa kwamandla kagesi avuselelekayo kulindeleke ukuthi kubangele u-53% walokhu kunikezwa, okufinyelele ku-66,760TWh ngo-2050. Ngaphezu kwalokho, amandla avuselelekayo alinganiselwa ukuthi enze ama-83% esamba sikagesi esiphakelwayo, okulingana nenani eliphindwe kathathu lemali ekhiqizwe ngo-2010.

Isifunda sase-Asia-Pacific, esiholwa yi-China, sibhekene nokukhula okusheshayo kokuhlinzekwa kukagesi. Ngo-2050, ukuphakelwa kukagesi sekukonke esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific kulindeleke ukuthi kufinyelele ku-34,079TWh, okubalelwa ku-51% yenani eliphelele lomhlaba, okuwukunyuka okukhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nesamba sango-2010 izikhathi ezingu-4.1. I-China iyodwa kulindeleke ukuthi inikele ngo-17,589TWh, okubalelwa ku-26.3% yenani eliphelele lomhlaba. Lokhu kukhula kokuphakelwa kukagesi kuyinkomba yokukhula kwezidingo zamandla kulesi sifunda njengoba umnotho ukhula futhi nokufakwa kukagesi kuya ngokuya kusabalele.

Enye yezinselelo ezibalulekile ezihlotshaniswa nokushintsha kwamandla emhlabeni jikelele isimo esishintshashintshayo semithombo yamandla avuselelekayo njengelanga nomoya. Ngaphandle kwesitoreji samandla esikali segridi, le mithombo inganikeza amandla kuphela ngezikhathi ezithile. Kodwa-ke, izindleko zokuthuthukiswa kwamandla avuselelekayo kulindeleke ukuthi ziqhubeke nokwehla, okwenza amandla elanga nawomoya abe lula ngokwezomnotho. Amazwe amaningi futhi asekela ukutshalwa kwezimali ekuphehleni amandla kagesi avuselelekayo ngezinqubomgomo nemithetho. Ngakho-ke, njengoba uguquko luqhubeka, amandla elanga nawomoya kancane kancane azokwandisa ingxenye yawo ekuxubeni kwamandla omhlaba, ngezindleko zamalahle, igesi yemvelo, nezimboni zamandla enuzi eziphehla ugesi ngokuqhubekayo.

Ukuze kubhekwane nezinselele zokushintsha kwamandla, kuzodingeka inhlanganisela yezinto ezibaswayo ezivamile, izibaseli zesikhashana ezifana negesi yemvelo, namandla avuselelekayo. Ngaphezu kokutshalwa kwezimali kwezobuchwepheshe, ingqalasizinda yokudlulisa, namandla athunyelwayo, kuzoba nesidingo esikhulayo samandla avuselelekayo kuwo womabili amazwe athuthukile nasathuthuka. Lokhu kukhula kuqhutshwa izibopho zokuqeda ikhabhoni zamazwe ahlukahlukene kanye nokukhathazeka mayelana nokuzimela kwamandla nokuphepha. Kodwa-ke, njengoba isabelo samandla avuselelekayo ngezikhathi ezithile esixukwini sokuphakelwa komhlaba sikhula, ikakhulukazi eYurophu naseNyakatho Melika, kungase kube nokungaqini okukhulu kugridi kanye namanani aguquguqukayo.

Ukuze unciphise lokhu kuntengantenga, ukugcinwa kwebhethri kwesilinganiso esikhulu kanye nokukhiqiza okuvumelana nezimo kuzobaluleka. Lobu buchwepheshe bungasiza ukuzinzisa isistimu yamandla nsuku zonke nangesizini ngokunikeza amandla ayisipele ngezikhathi zokukhiqiza amandla aphansi avuselelekayo. Ngokuhlukanisa inhlanganisela yokuphakelwa kukagesi nokuhlanganisa lawa makhono, igridi ingaqinisekisa kangcono ukunikezwa kwamandla okungaguquki nokungaphazamiseki kubathengi ngamanani azinzile. Lokhu kugqamisa ukubaluleka kokutshala imali ekugcinweni kwamandla kanye nengqalasizinda eguqukayo yokuphehla ugesi ukuze kusekelwe ukushintshela ekusaseni elinekhabhoni ephansi.

Imikhiqizo ehlobene:

I-Energy Management System EMS

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